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Public Health Forum

A Forum to discuss Public Health Issues in Pakistan

Welcome to the most comprehensive portal on Community Medicine/ Public Health in Pakistan. This website contains content rich information for Medical Students, Post Graduates in Public Health, Researchers and Fellows in Public Health, and encompasses all super specialties of Public Health. The site is maintained by Dr Nayyar R. Kazmi

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5 posters

    Cohort Study Design.

    Dr Abu Zar Taizai
    Dr Abu Zar Taizai


    Aries Number of posts : 1163
    Age : 58
    Location : Pabbi Nowshera
    Job : Co-ordinator DHIS: District NowsheraAnd Coordinator Public Health
    Registration date : 2008-03-09

    Cohort Study Design. Empty Cohort Study Design.

    Post by Dr Abu Zar Taizai Fri May 28, 2010 7:45 pm

    Cohort Study Design

    • Definition




    Cohort study design looks at the association between and disease in a prospective manner. The study starts with a group of people who are exposed to or are likely to be exposed to the risk factors(s) during the course of study and eventually may or may not develop the disease. Such group of persons sharing certain common characteristics and carrying risk of being exposed to the probable factor(s) constitute a cohort.



    • Cohort Studies are longitudinal.




    Essentially cohort studies are prospective because they examine the effect of risk factors on the disease in a prospective manner, but the point of observation or data collection may not be prospective. Multiple factors can be studied during the same time period on the same population group; multiple outcomes may also be studied simultaneously. It may be possible to select a group of people who may have already developed the disease of interest at the start of the study but may be traced back historically to belong to a cohort, and the exposure to the risk factors may be retrospective or mixed, however the method remains longitudinal on time scale, hence the more appropriate term is ‘longitudinal study.’



    3. Cohort Studies Are Done In The Community



    Like case control study, in cohort study also, information is collected about the exposure to the risk factors and the occurrence of disease. Since people report to the hospital about the disease when they have already acquired the disease so these studies cannot be conducted in the hospital set up and is essentially community based. A community for cohort studies may be a residential area, or any community like school, college, workplace,etc. Sometimes cohort s are selected on the basis of single event in people life like date o birth, exposure to radiation during an accident, or exposure to drugs whose side effects may manifest as disease.



    • Utility




    Cohort studies are often done (1) to evaluate the effectiveness of the health services or (2) to further confirm the etiological basis of the disease. The studies are always longitudinal and may take years to complete , so they are fairly expensive If the chance of occurrence of a disease or health problem on exposure to the offending agent is minimal or if the expected benefit from the proposed health measure is marginal, cohort studies should be executed on fairly large sample and with great precision to arrive at meaningful and statistically significant results.



    To be continued…………
    Dr Abu Zar Taizai
    Dr Abu Zar Taizai


    Aries Number of posts : 1163
    Age : 58
    Location : Pabbi Nowshera
    Job : Co-ordinator DHIS: District NowsheraAnd Coordinator Public Health
    Registration date : 2008-03-09

    Cohort Study Design. Empty Re: Cohort Study Design.

    Post by Dr Abu Zar Taizai Fri May 28, 2010 7:53 pm

    Cohort Study Design




    1. Definition
    Cohort study design looks at the association between risk factor (s) and disease in a prospective manner. The study starts with a group of people who are exposed to or are likely to be exposed to the risk factors(s) during the course of study and eventually may or may not develop the disease. Such group of persons sharing certain common characteristics and carrying risk of being exposed to the probable factor(s) constitute a cohort.
    2. Cohort Studies are longitudinal.
    Essentially cohort studies are prospective because they examine the effect of risk factors on the disease in a prospective manner, but the point of observation or data collection may not be prospective. Multiple factors can be studied during the same time period on the same population group; multiple outcomes may also be studied simultaneously. It may be possible to select a group of people who may have already developed the disease of interest at the start of the study but may be traced back historically to belong to a cohort, and the exposure to the risk factors may be retrospective or mixed, however the method remains longitudinal on time scale, hence the more appropriate term is ‘longitudinal study.’
    3. Cohort Studies Are Done In The Community
    Like case control study, in cohort study also, information is collected about the exposure to the risk factors and the occurrence of disease. Since people report to the hospital about the disease when they have already acquired the disease so these studies cannot be conducted in the hospital set up and is essentially community based. A community for cohort studies may be a residential area, or any community like school, college, workplace,etc. Sometimes cohort s are selected on the basis of single event in people life like date o birth, exposure to radiation during an accident, or exposure to drugs whose side effects may manifest as disease.
    4. Utility
    Cohort studies are often done (1) to evaluate the effectiveness of the health services or (2) to further confirm the etiological basis of the disease. The studies are always longitudinal and may take years to complete , so they are fairly expensive If the chance of occurrence of a disease or health problem on exposure to the offending agent is minimal or if the expected benefit from the proposed health measure is marginal, cohort studies should be executed on fairly large sample and with great precision to arrive at meaningful and statistically significant results.
    To be continued…………
    The Saint
    The Saint
    Admin


    Sagittarius Number of posts : 2444
    Age : 51
    Location : In the Fifth Dimension
    Job : Consultant in Paediatric Emergency Medicine, NHS, Kent, England, UK
    Registration date : 2007-02-22

    Cohort Study Design. Empty Re: Cohort Study Design.

    Post by The Saint Fri May 28, 2010 9:11 pm

    Good to see Dr Abuzar in Action once again contributing valuable material for all our Hypothyroid as well as Euthyroid Students
    Dr Abu Zar Taizai
    Dr Abu Zar Taizai


    Aries Number of posts : 1163
    Age : 58
    Location : Pabbi Nowshera
    Job : Co-ordinator DHIS: District NowsheraAnd Coordinator Public Health
    Registration date : 2008-03-09

    Cohort Study Design. Empty Re: Cohort Study Design.

    Post by Dr Abu Zar Taizai Sat May 29, 2010 10:55 am

    Thank You Very Much Dear & Very Cute Sir!!! Nice to hear from You.

    Continued;Cohort Study Design:


    5. Advantages of Cohort Study

    There is much lesser bias in cohort studies as compared to case control studies. These surveys permit assessment rates among those who are exposed and those not exposed. Prospective study allows observation of more than one outcome. For example in prospective study designed to detect association between obesity with myocardial infarction, obese and non-obese subjects were followed up for occurrence of coronary artery diseases. The study also showed that obesity may be associated with certain additional diseases such as hypertension and diabetes.

    6. Disadvantages.



    Prospective studies involve a large number of subjects and require a larger period of time. Moreover, they are time consuming, expensive and patients are likely to be lost to follow up for a variety of reasons. A cohort study may also suffer from several biases, for example interviewer bias, recall bias and measurement bias may also occur in cohort studies. As such, one has to be careful about design and conduct of the study.



    7. Methods

    Incidence may be calculated in each exposed group. As Incidence in already measurement of risk; the cohort study gives us the measurement of risk of developing a disease with respect to the occurrence of exposure to the risk factor(s), and the analysis of data in a cohort study aims at identifying the risk of development of disease (Read Incidence) in different risk factor exposure categories, the association is measured in terms of relative risk of developing a disease with respect to degree of exposure to the risk factor.



    8. Measurement of Risk



    Using a cohort study, Risk may be collected in terms of absolute Risk, Relative Risk, attributed Risk, and population attributable Risk.

    (A) Absolute Risk: Incidence rate is a measurement of absolute risk.If the incidence rate is cancer of oral cavity is 4 per 100,000 it is interpreted to mean that 4 out of every 100,000 persons are at risk of developing cancer of the oral cavity in the given population in a specified time period.

    A Relative Risk: The concept of absolute risk is applicable to a whole group or population exposed to a particular factor. When two populations (exposed as unexposed) are compared, Risk of developing the disease has to be compared between these two groups. A relative risk of developing the disease is collected my comparing by the absolute risk of developing the disease (i.e. Incidence) in the two groups. Let us understand this with the help of an example. Suppose that some clinicians reported that people who are in the habit of chewing pan (Betel Leaves) or tobacco more often land in up in their clinic with oral cancer. This is the observation made by the clinicians in their clinic set up and it becomes the starting point of an epidemiological research. The hypothesis is that chewing of tobacco or pan increases the risk of oral cancer.

    A cohort of young men living in a township is selected and followed up. Over a period of time, some of them start chewing tobacco and other do not. After a specified interval of time, say 20 years, some of them develop cancer of the oral cavity. From this data, incidence of oral cancer among tobacco chewers and non-chewers is calculated. This gives us a measure of absolute risk in both the groups. But our point of interest is to find whether the risk of developing cancer is more among tobacco chewers as compared to the non-chewers. This can be calculated by comparing the incidence among both the groups and the resulting parameters of this estimation is called relative risk. It is measured as incidence among the exposed divided by the incidence by incidence among non-exposed.


















    …………Disease…………..

    Total

    Present

    Absent

    Exposure

    Present

    a

    b

    Incidence among exposed (a/a+b)

    Absent

    c

    d

    Incidence among non-exposed (c/c+d)

    Total


    a+c

    b+d

    a+b+c+d





    .a. indicates subjects with both risk factors and the disease

    .b. indicates subjects with the risk factors but not the disease

    . c .indicates the subjects with the disease but not with the risk factors

    . d .indicates subjects with neither the risk factors nor with the disease



    • Incidence Ration or relative risk = incidnec in exposed persons/ incidence in unexposed


    = (a/a+b)/(c/c+d)



    • Attributable risk = incidence rate in exposed – incidence rate in non-exposed


    = {(a/a+b)}-{(c/c+d)}

    3. Population attributable risk = total incidence – incidence in unexposed

    ={(a+c)}/ ({ a+b+c+d)}-{(c/c+d)}



    All risks can be expressed in percentage value also.



    To be continued………
    Dr Abu Zar Taizai
    Dr Abu Zar Taizai


    Aries Number of posts : 1163
    Age : 58
    Location : Pabbi Nowshera
    Job : Co-ordinator DHIS: District NowsheraAnd Coordinator Public Health
    Registration date : 2008-03-09

    Cohort Study Design. Empty Re: Cohort Study Design.

    Post by Dr Abu Zar Taizai Sun May 30, 2010 4:05 am

    Suppose the incidence of oral cancer among tobacco chewers was 16 per 100,000 and 5 per 100,000 among non-chewers, then the relative risk among the tobacco chewers is 3.2 (16/5). It means that a tobacco chewer is 3.2 times more likely to develop oral cancer as compared to non-chewer. Hence it determines the association between tobacco chewing and the development of oral cancer.

    (C): Attributable Risk.

    In the above example we also observed that that some people who did not chew tobacco also developed oral cancer. Hence a causal association is unlikely to exist between tobacco chewing and the development of oral cancer. It could be because of other risk factors .But we can safely conclude that if there were no tobacco chewers in that community, at least 11 (16-5), cases of oral cancer per 100,000 could be avoided. In other words, 11 cases of oral cases for every 100,000 population could be attributable to tobacco chewing habit.



    This information can be used by policy makers and health care administrators to decide on the launching campaigns against tobacco chewing.



    (D) Population attributable Risk:



    Policy makers and health care providers are also interested in knowing the financial implications of any anti-tobacco campaign that is how beneficial it will be for the community in terms of expenditure incurred in such campaigns. This is to determine another parameter that is extent of use of tobacco in the community.

    Let us take a hypothetical example, suppose a community has 500,000 adults. About 20 % (100,000) are tobacco chewers. With the given incidence rates 16 per 100,000 in exposed and 5 per 1100,000 in non-exposed in a year there will be 16 cases of oral cancer among tobacco chewers and 20 cases of oral cancer among non-chewers , thus a total of 36 cases. If the anti- tobacco campaign is successful and every body gives up tobacco chewing habit, there will still be 20 cases in the community. So the campaign will reduce the risk of oral cancer by (16/36 *100) that is 44.4 per cent. This measurement of risk is known as population attributable risk.

    Theoretically speaking, population attributable risk measure the absolute amount of risk of developing the disease on account of a given risk factor. Consider another population where 50 per cent are tobacco chewers, here 40 cases of oral cancer will occur among tobacco chewers (at the rate of 16 per 100,000 and a tobacco chewing population of 250,000) and 12 cases (at the rate of 5 cases per 100,000 and a non-tobacco chewing population of 250,000) among non-tobacco chewers. Hence the population attributable risk is (40/52*100), 77 percent. Hence in this community, cessation of tobacco chewing will bring down the incidence of oral cancer by 77 percent.
    Zia Dawar
    Zia Dawar


    Sagittarius Number of posts : 43
    Age : 39
    Location : North Wazristan
    Job : National Adis Control Program
    Registration date : 2009-09-05

    Cohort Study Design. Empty Re: Cohort Study Design.

    Post by Zia Dawar Sun May 30, 2010 7:54 am

    most respectabal dr abuzar salm.sir we need some valuable material about Reserch methad.
    mr dentist
    mr dentist


    Sagittarius Number of posts : 451
    Age : 42
    Location : central america (panama)
    Job : Dentist
    Registration date : 2008-09-22

    Cohort Study Design. Empty Re: Cohort Study Design.

    Post by mr dentist Sun May 30, 2010 1:34 pm

    pa kher zia ur rehmana . salamoona
    sa mung la hum raka research method ba baary k . mung hum, sthaa wrornra you. help us also in getting through with research paper. regards.
    Big Man
    Big Man


    Pisces Number of posts : 522
    Age : 46
    Location : Phnom Penh , Cambodia
    Job : Program & ME Specialist ,
    Registration date : 2009-12-12

    Cohort Study Design. Empty Re: Cohort Study Design.

    Post by Big Man Mon May 31, 2010 6:42 am

    Welcome and good come back respected Dr.Abuzar.
    We need you in the forum,because your valuable additions and post are informative and useful.

    just regards and best wishes
    Dr Abu Zar Taizai
    Dr Abu Zar Taizai


    Aries Number of posts : 1163
    Age : 58
    Location : Pabbi Nowshera
    Job : Co-ordinator DHIS: District NowsheraAnd Coordinator Public Health
    Registration date : 2008-03-09

    Cohort Study Design. Empty Re: Cohort Study Design.

    Post by Dr Abu Zar Taizai Mon May 31, 2010 1:12 pm

    Thank You Dear Colleague!!
    .....But Your Name please!!

    Regards
    Dr Abu Zar

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    Cohort Study Design. Empty Re: Cohort Study Design.

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